วิทยาการสาธารณภัย By ดร.วัฒกานต์ ลาภสาร

The concept of “how disaster works” refers to the processes, dynamics, and consequences of disasters, as well as how they impact human societies and ecosystems. Disasters can be natural or man-made and typically result from a combination of hazards, vulnerability, and exposure. Here’s an overview of how disasters work from different angles:

1. Types of Disasters

Disasters can be classified into two broad categories:

  • Natural Disasters: These are events caused by natural processes of the Earth or environment, such as:
    • Earthquakes: Sudden shaking or movement of the Earth’s surface caused by tectonic activity.
    • Volcanic Eruptions: When molten rock (lava), ash, and gases are expelled from a volcano.
    • Floods: Overflow of water onto normally dry land, often due to heavy rainfall, storms, or overflowing rivers.
    • Tsunamis: Large sea waves caused by underwater earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, or landslides.
    • Hurricanes/Typhoons/Cyclones: Powerful storms with strong winds and rain, typically forming over warm ocean waters.
    • Wildfires: Uncontrolled fires that spread rapidly in forests, grasslands, or urban areas.
    • Droughts: Prolonged periods of low rainfall leading to water shortages.
  • Man-Made (Technological) Disasters: These result from human activities or technological failures, such as:
    • Industrial Accidents: Explosions, chemical spills, or fires in factories and industrial plants.
    • Nuclear Disasters: Failures at nuclear power plants (e.g., Chernobyl, Fukushima) causing radioactive releases.
    • Pollution Disasters: Long-term or large-scale environmental contamination (e.g., oil spills, air pollution).
    • Terrorist Attacks: Acts of violence aimed at causing widespread fear and damage (e.g., bombings, cyber-attacks).

2. Stages of a Disaster

Disasters typically unfold in a series of stages that can be broken down into four phases:

a. Mitigation

  • What It Involves: This phase focuses on preventing or reducing the impact of disasters before they occur. It involves activities such as building stronger infrastructure, enforcing building codes, creating flood barriers, and preserving natural landscapes (e.g., forests and wetlands) that can buffer the effects of disasters.
  • Goal: To reduce the severity of disasters and minimize damage to lives, property, and the environment.

b. Preparedness

  • What It Involves: This phase ensures that people, organizations, and governments are ready to respond effectively to a disaster when it occurs. Activities include:
    • Developing disaster response plans.
    • Conducting emergency drills and simulations.
    • Setting up early warning systems (e.g., tsunami or hurricane warnings).
    • Educating the public on what to do during different types of disasters.
  • Goal: To increase readiness and ensure a rapid, coordinated response when a disaster occurs.

c. Response

  • What It Involves: This is the immediate phase when a disaster strikes. It focuses on saving lives, protecting property, and addressing immediate humanitarian needs.
    • Search and rescue operations.
    • Evacuating affected populations.
    • Providing medical care, food, water, and shelter.
    • Managing the impact on infrastructure (e.g., restoring power, roads, and communication).
  • Goal: To reduce the immediate effects of the disaster, stabilize the situation, and prevent further harm.

d. Recovery

  • What It Involves: Once the immediate crisis has passed, the recovery phase begins. This is often the longest phase, and it focuses on restoring normalcy and rebuilding:
    • Rebuilding homes, infrastructure, and businesses.
    • Providing long-term support to affected populations (e.g., mental health services, financial aid).
    • Analyzing what went wrong and updating disaster plans and policies to prevent future disasters or minimize their impact.
  • Goal: To help the affected community recover and rebuild, often with a focus on improving resilience to future disasters.

3. Factors Influencing Disasters

The severity and impact of a disaster depend on various factors, including:

a. Hazard

  • What It Is: The natural or man-made event itself, such as an earthquake, flood, or industrial explosion.
  • Key Points: The size, strength, duration, and unpredictability of a hazard will influence how damaging it can be.

b. Vulnerability

  • What It Is: The susceptibility of people, property, or ecosystems to the damaging effects of a disaster.
  • Key Points: Vulnerability is influenced by factors like poor infrastructure, lack of preparedness, poverty, and lack of access to resources. Vulnerable populations (e.g., the elderly, disabled, or those living in high-risk areas) are often the most affected.

c. Exposure

  • What It Is: The extent to which people, property, or infrastructure are in the path of the hazard.
  • Key Points: Urbanization, population density, and location play key roles. For example, coastal cities are more exposed to hurricanes, while areas near fault lines are more exposed to earthquakes.

4. Disaster Management Systems

Disasters are managed by a coordinated effort between various entities, including:

  • Government Agencies: National and local governments play a central role in disaster preparedness, response, and recovery. For example, the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) in the U.S. or similar organizations in other countries.
  • International Organizations: Global bodies like the United Nations, Red Cross, and NGOs often step in to provide aid and expertise during large-scale disasters.
  • Community and Local Groups: Local communities play a critical role in both preparedness and recovery. Grassroots organizations often provide immediate relief and help in rebuilding efforts.

5. Technological and Early Warning Systems

Modern technology plays a crucial role in disaster management:

  • Early Warning Systems: These systems use real-time data from satellites, sensors, and weather stations to predict events like hurricanes, floods, or tsunamis. They allow authorities to issue timely warnings and evacuate people from high-risk areas.
  • Big Data and AI: Machine learning and big data analytics are increasingly being used to predict the occurrence of disasters, model their impacts, and assist in faster response and recovery.
  • Remote Sensing and Drones: These technologies help in assessing damage, monitoring recovery efforts, and reaching inaccessible areas during or after disasters.

6. Human and Environmental Impact

Disasters can have profound short-term and long-term impacts:

a. Human Impact

  • Loss of Life: Disasters can result in a high number of casualties, depending on the severity of the event and preparedness levels.
  • Injury and Illness: Injuries from debris, exposure to hazardous materials, or post-disaster diseases (e.g., cholera outbreaks in floods).
  • Displacement: Many people are forced to leave their homes, leading to refugee crises, especially in the case of large-scale disasters like floods or wars.

b. Environmental Impact

  • Ecosystem Disruption: Forest fires, oil spills, or floods can severely damage ecosystems, harming plant and animal life.
  • Pollution: Disasters like industrial accidents or nuclear meltdowns can release toxins into the environment, leading to long-term contamination of air, soil, and water.

Conclusion

Disasters work through the interaction of natural or human-made hazards with vulnerable populations and infrastructure. Effective disaster management involves understanding these dynamics, preparing accordingly, and responding rapidly when disasters occur. The goal is always to reduce damage, protect lives, and ensure that recovery leads to greater resilience for future events.

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